Scientists Predicts Major Earthquake for SoCal

    California has
    an almost guaranteed chance of being struck by a major earthquake in the next
    30 years, Southern California scientists said this week
    in the state’s most comprehensive geologic forecast.

    The state faces a more than 99-percent chance of being hit
    by a magnitude 6.7 temblor — the size of the 1994 Northridge quake — the report
    stated. According to the report, there is also a nearly 50-percent chance that California
    will experience a magnitude 7.5 quake, which could inflict catastrophic damage
    if it is centered in a large city such as San Diego,
    Los Angeles or San
    Francisco
    .

    “We can expect that we’re going to get hammered by a big
    earthquake and we’d better be prepared,” Southern California Earthquake Center
    Director Tom Jordan said. “Magnitude 7.5, that’s a really big earthquake.
    You’re talking about an earthquake that might span 200 miles of fault length
    and a displacement of 12 feet or more.”

    Jordan said there is a 37-percent chance that a 7.5
    magnitude quake will hit Southern California, compared to a 15-percent chance
    in Northern California, largely due to the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, which
    relieved stress from the San Andreas Fault in that region.

    The 1906 San Francisco
    quake was estimated to have a magnitude of around 7.8. The last quake of this
    size in Southern California occurred in 1857.

    The study was conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey, the
    Southern California Earthquake Center and California Geological Survey, and
    represents the first report of statewide quake probabilities.

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